The IMF released its Article IV on Tajikistan, emphasizing the Tajik economy’s resilience thus far but highlighting the uncertainty over the near-term outlook due to the spillover risks from Russia. The fund forecasts Tajikistan’s GDP growth to decelerate to 5.0% (with risks tilted strongly towards a lower number) in 2023 as remittances return to historical levels after the sharp increase in 2022. Over the medium term, GDP growth is expected at 4.0%.